The hiring funnel for mechanical engineers in the United States is structurally crowded, see Reason #1. Labor-market totals show fewer projected openings than new graduates, and that baseline oversupply is further amplified by a steady inflow of H-1B workers in mechanical engineering occupations. Together, these streams create a persistently deep applicant pool for entry-level and early-career ME roles (Bureau of Labor Statistics [BLS], 2025; National Center for Education Statistics [NCES], 2022; U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services [USCIS], 2025).
Quantitatively, the BLS projects about 18,100 mechanical-engineer openings per year on average over 2024–2034 (BLS, 2025). In the latest fully consolidated NCES year, U.S. institutions awarded 36,224 bachelor’s degrees in mechanical engineering (AY 2020–2021), roughly two graduates for every projected opening (NCES, 2022). This two-to-one ratio exists before adding experienced candidates, internal transfers, or those re-entering from graduate programs: factors that further intensify competition (BLS, 2025; NCES, 2022).
Global labor supply compounds the squeeze. In FY 2024, USCIS approved 8,010 H-1B petitions in Mechanical Engineering Occupations alone (2,714 initial and 5,296 continuing. The practical result is that the same requisitions attract domestic new grads, experienced MEs, and returning H-1B candidates who already know the employer’s systems, fixtures, routings, and paperwork.
These conditions are visible on the shop-floor side of ME work. Day to day, junior engineers are evaluated on risk reduction rather than invention, moving holes and thread callouts to match supplier revisions, rewriting DFMEAs when a casting tolerance shifts, shimming test fixtures to preserve repeatability, and pushing ECOs through signatures. In an oversupplied market, managers can wait for applicants who already did these tasks in the same plant. As if not bad enough, internally, the pressure is reinforced by peer competition and by the lack of a protective professional guild, see Reason #6 and Reason #13.
You were never outmatched, only outnumbered.
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